General Election Forecast: Kandy District - Numbers.lk
Kandy elects 12 members to the parliament. According to our projections, SLPP will win the district with 7 seats and SJB come in 2nd place with 4 seats. NMPP will win 1 seat.
01 August, 2020 | 17:19 p.m.
Kandy is the 2nd largest city and the last capital of the ancient kings' era of Sri Lanka. Kandy electoral district is home to 1,129,100 registered voters and they elect 12 of the 225 members of the Sri Lankan Parliament.
Kandy is a district that leans in UNP direction in past elections. In the 2015 general election, UNFGG was able to win the district with 55.57% of the votes. It gave them 7 seats. However, In 2010 SLFA won Kandy district with 8 seats to 4. JVP usually has around 4% support in Kandy which is not sufficient to win a seat from a district. In the recent presidential election in 2019, Gotabhaya Rajapaksha won Kandy with 50.43% voter support. He got 471,502 votes in his favour in that election.****
General Election 2020
Numbers.lk conducted a national online poll between 20th July to 27th of July of 2020. We got 1,844 responses overall and 177 of them are from Kandy district. Since it’s an online poll it’s difficult to achieve the random sampling of demographics an election poll requires. Since the poll is not a random sample of the population of Sri Lanka; we used the swing of voters from one party to another from the presidential election to the general election to forecast the outcome of the election.
According to our projections, here are the final forcast of results in Kandy district,
- SLPP will win the district with 7 seats. SJB will win 4 seats, NMPP end up winning 1 seat.
- Every big name form UNP is contesting under SJB in Kandy district this time around, therefore it seems like UNP won’t be able to win a seat from Kandy.
- Introduction of KD Lalkantha to Kandy district from NMPP seems like a smart move. Our poll suggests he has a very good chance of winning a seat.
- Dilum Amunugama and Lakshman Kiriella are leading the preferential votes race respectively in SLPP & SJB.
What the data tells us about Covid-19 deaths in Sri Lanka
We went through all 204 Covid-19 deaths in Sri Lanka of the year 2020 and here is what we found.
Elon Musk Just become the wealthiest human on the planet Earth, his Response - How strange
Tesla and SpaceX owner Elon Musk replaced Jeff Bezos as the world's richest person, worth $185bn
Colombo Kings unexpected problem
Colombo Kings has the strongest squad on paper among the @LPLT20 teams. But they have a major unexpected problem that could lead us to their downfall.!