Numbers.lk
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🇱🇰 GOVERNMENT IS BURNING CASH TO KEEP DIESEL PRICES DOWN

⭕ In Sri Lanka, Auto Diesel currently sells at Rs. 392 per litre. The latest formula estimate, based on Platts prices, suggests it should be Rs. 539. The gap: Rs. 147 per litre.
⭕ Despite its earlier political rhetoric against the fuel pricing formula, the current Government rightfully continued it after the election.
⭕ Then the Iran War changed the equation. Global fuel prices surged, but instead of passing increase to consumers in line with the formula, the Government stepped in and held diesel prices down, with the CPC absorbing part of the difference.
⭕ This came at a significant price. Around Rs. 57 billion was reportedly spent on fuel subsidies between April and June.
⭕ Fast forward to October, and the Middle East is unstable again. Cabinet has now approved up to another Rs. 40.65 billion for diesel price stabilization from October to December, including Rs. 15 billion for October.
⭕ While this provides immediate relief, the costs do not disappear. They are absorbed by the Government and fuel suppliers, ultimately placing pressure on public finances.
⭕ Haven't we seen this before? Keeping fuel and electricity prices below cost, accumulating losses in state enterprises and allowing political decisions to override cost-recovery pricing were among the problems that contributed to Sri Lanka's 2022 economic crisis.
⭕ Haven't we seen this before? Keeping fuel and electricity prices below cost, allowing losses to pile up in state enterprises and delaying necessary price adjustments for political reasons were among the top policy failures that contributed to Sri Lanka's 2022 economic crisis. We have already seen where this road can lead..
⭕The political cost of raising prices may be high, but the economic cost of refusing to do so could be far greater.
#SriLanka
Sources
- Original post on X — Numbers.lk (@numberslka)


